Let’s review some quarterback regular season props. We’ll showcase this NFL season’s anticipated top performing quarterbacks, along with their performance lines for passing yards and passing touchdowns. Then we’ll explain how to bet on NFL quarterback performance props with a simple example. And finally, some guidance on handicapping these exciting prop bets.
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Top Quarterback Passing Props
BetMGM Bet |
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Patrick Mahomes
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Patrick Mahomes
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Jalen Hurts
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Jalen Hurts
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Dak Prescott
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Dak Prescott
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns |
Scroll down for a complete list below
Jalen Hurts
Jalen Hurts is flying under the radar after a poor postseason performance last year. However, the two-time Pro Bowl quarterback is entering just his fourth full year as the Philadelphia Eagles starting quarterback. Hurts’ totals are set at 3,595.5 passing yards and 21.5 passing touchdowns. Last season, he registered a good 11-6 record with 3,858 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, and 15 interceptions. Unfortunately, his 15 interceptions were as many as he had in 2021 and 2022 combined, but Hurts should bounce back this season, and the expectation is to see a better Eagles squad in 2024.
What is an NFL Player Prop Bet?
The player prop bet is a side bet placed on an event that isn’t dependent on any particular game’s outcome. In this case, the prop is for each quarterback’s regular season performance.
Example NFL Quarterback Player Prop
Aaron Rodgers – Total Passing Touchdowns
- 31.5 o -118
- 31.5 u -106
This passing touchdowns line includes ½ touchdowns. That means no tie bets are possible.
Options:
Risk $118 to win $100 that Aaron Rodgers makes more than 31.5 touchdown passes. A result of 32 or more wins.
Risk $106 to win $100 that Aaron Rodgers makes less than 31.5 touchdown passes. A result of 31 or fewer wins.
How to Handicap an NFL Quarterback Season Prop Bet
An NFL Quarterback’s regular season performance comes down to three factors. Carefully consider the following as you decide how to bet an NFL player prop. Evaluate both sides of the line. Don’t let your initial bias guide your decision.
Avoiding Injury
How likely is the quarterback to get injured or exacerbate an existing injury? High injury risk decreases the likelihood the quarterback will go over the sportsbook’s line. While the under might be more expensive and less rewarding in some cases, taking the safer bet is sometimes the better option.
Also consider the quarterback’s age, playing style, how often they run the ball, and the ability of their offensive line to protect them. Quarterbacks who are more likely to get sacked or tackled on the run have higher injury risk than one who plays more conservatively.
Teammate Performance
Quarterbacks can’t throw touchdowns unless their receivers can catch them. Review each quarterback’s receivers. Do they rely on one or two to score touchdowns? If so, how likely are these players to produce this coming season?
Also consider the team’s offensive line. Quarterbacks cannot reliably throw the ball without consistent passing protection. Is the offensive line in good shape for the upcoming season? Will new recruits improve or impede the line’s ability to protect the quarterback?
Finally, consider the injury risk for the linemen and likely receivers. If a valuable linemen misses a few games, how will that affect the quarterback’s passing game?
Team Offense, Offensive Coordinator
Some head coaches and offensive coordinators prefer running the ball more than others. Considering the team’s offensive style and the sportsbook’s line, does the over or under make more sense?
First, determine the team’s most likely offensive style for the upcoming season. Pay close attention to any coaching changes. Also review last season’s results. Teams that had lackluster performances will likely make changes. Next, decide whether the quarterback will go over or under the sportsbook’s line.
If the sportsbook’s total passing yards line is high, take the under if the team mostly runs the ball. However, if the passing yards line is low, take the over if you believe the team will be throwing the ball more often this season.
Total Passing Yards, Passing Touchdowns for All NFL Quarterbacks
BetMGM Bet |
|
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Aaron Rodgers
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Aaron Rodgers
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Anthony Richardson
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Anthony Richardson
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Baker Mayfield
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Baker Mayfield
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Bo Nix
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Bo Nix
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Brock Purdy
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Brock Purdy
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Bryce Young
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Bryce Young
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Caleb Williams
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Caleb Williams
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
CJ Stroud
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
CJ Stroud
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Dak Prescott
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Dak Prescott
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Daniel Jones
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Derek Carr
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Derek Carr
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
DeShaun Watson
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
DeShaun Watson
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Geno Smith
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Geno Smith
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Jalen Hurts
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Jalen Hurts
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Jared Goff
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Jared Goff
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Jayden Daniels
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Jayden Daniels
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Joe Burrow
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Joe Burrow
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Jordan Love
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Jordan Love
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Josh Allen
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Josh Allen
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Justin Herbert
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Justin Herbert
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Kirk Cousins
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Kirk Cousins
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Kyler Murray
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Kyler Murray
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Lamar Jackson
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Lamar Jackson
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Matthew Stafford
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Matthew Stafford
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Patrick Mahomes
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Patrick Mahomes
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Trevor Lawrence
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Trevor Lawrence
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Tua Tagovailoa
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Tua Tagovailoa
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns | |
Will Levis
2024 Total Passing Yards | |
Will Levis
2024 Total Passing Touchdowns |
Current NFL Player Props
The following list contains links to NFL player prop bet pages, ordered alphabetically by first name. Browse each one before the next big game begins.
- Aaron Rodgers
- Anthony Richardson
- Baker Mayfield
- Brock Purdy
- Bryce Young
- Caleb Williams
- CJ Stroud
- Dak Prescott
- Derek Carr
- Deshaun Watson
- Geno Smith
- Jalen Hurts
- Jared Goff
- Jayden Daniels
- Joe Burrow
- Jordan Love
- Josh Allen
- Justin Herbert
- Kirk Cousins
- Kyler Murray
- Lamar Jackson
- Matthew Stafford
- Patrick Mahomes
- Russell Wilson
- Trevor Lawrence
- Tua Tagovailoa
- Will Levis
NFL Betting Resources
- How to Bet on the NFL – An in-depth look at how to place bets on the NFL, including common straight bets and exotics like parlays, teasers, and props.
- NFL Betting Sites – Our list of the best NFL betting sites features licensed and legal US sportsbooks, just in time for the action on the gridiron.
- NFL Betting Odds – Current NFL odds for upcoming matchups, including the preseason and postseason. Review futures odds, the greatest all-time teams, regular-season standings, and valuable handicapping strategies.
- NFL Prop Bets – Prop bets from upcoming NFL matchups, including a complete NFL prop betting tutorial. Learn how to bet on NFL props.
- NFL Futures Odds – Odds for popular NFL Futures, like the Super Bowl, AFC and NFC conference winners, each division winner, and offensive and defensive player awards. Learn how to bet on NFL futures in minutes.
- NFL Win Total Odds – Review regular season win total lines and odds for each team. Remember to place you bet before each team’s first game of the regular season.
- NFL Game to Overtime Prop Bet – See odds for upcoming games, then review overtime game counts from recent seasons.
- NFL Safety to be Scored Prop Bet – Review odds of a safety happening in upcoming games, then bet “Yes” or “No”.
- NFL First Team to Score Prop Bet – See odds for which team will score first, then learn how to bet on this prop.
- Undefeated NFL Teams – See which teams are still undefeated in the current regular season.
- NFL Biggest Rivalries – Review the NFL’s biggest rivalries by division, catching up on each rivalry’s history and recent matchup results.
- Super Bowl Betting – The latest Super Bowl odds for every NFL team, plus a great guide to how to bet on the Super Bowl. Review how to bet Super Bowl props and recent winning teams.
- Quarterback Props – Review each quarterback’s regular season performance props. Bet over or under the sportsbook’s line.
- Running Back Props – See performance props for the league’s top running backs. Bet over or under the sportsbook’s line.
- Receiver Props – Have a look at regular season performance lines for receiving yards and receiving touchdowns, then bet over or under the sportsbook’s line.
- How to Read NFL Odds – Great for beginners: learn what the numbers for each bet mean.
- NFL Team Betting Odds – Betting odds and bonuses for each NFL team, including their Super Bowl, Conference, and Division futures, plus historical standings going back to before you were born.